The BBVA share

Global economic growth may have slowed slightly in the third quarter of 2018 to rates somewhat below 1% quarterly. Although the pace of expansion remains robust, it is geographically less synchronized, with the strength of the United States economy that contrasts with the moderation seen in China, Europe and some emerging economies. The fact that both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the ECB have taken steps toward the normalization of their monetary policy and, although they continue to support activity, this process has led to an increase in financial tensions in the emerging economies due to the appreciation of the dollar and the reduction of liquidity. However, the rebound in financial tensions has been especially concentrated in the more vulnerable emerging countries, with a clear difference between them. The main risk continues to be protectionism, despite the fact that the direct effect on global growth of the measures taken could be limited, the indirect impact of lower confidence and financial volatility could be felt in the coming quarters and increase uncertainty.

Most stock-market indices showed a downward trend during the first nine months of the year 2018. Thus, the Stoxx 50 and the Euro Stoxx 50 fell by 3.5% and 3.0%, respectively, year-to-date; while in Spain, the Ibex 35 lost 6.5% over the same period. In contrast, in the United States the S&P 500 index gained 9.0% in the last nine months (up 7.2% in the third quarter).

In this context, the BBVA share closed September at €5.49, a fall of 22.8% for this year.

BBVA share evolution

Compared with European indices (Base indice 100=30-09-2017)

Regarding shareholder remuneration, on October 10, BBVA paid in cash a gross amount of €0.10 per share on account of the 2018 fiscal year. This payment is consistent with the shareholder remuneration policy announced by Relevant Event of February 1, 2017, that envisages, subject to the pertinent approvals by the corresponding corporate bodies, the payment of two dividends in cash, foreseeably on October and April of each year.

Shareholder remuneration

(Euros-gross/share)

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Group information

Results

  • Generalized growth in recurrent revenue for almost all geographic areas.
  • Operating expenses remain under control.
  • Lower amount of impairment on financial assets not measured at fair value through profit or loss.
  • The result of corporate operations amounted to €633 million and includes the capital gains (net of taxes) arising from the sale of approximately 68.2% of BBVA's equity stake in BBVA Chile.
  • The net attributable profit was €4.323 million, 25.3% higher than in the first nine months of the previous year. Net attributable profit excluding results from corporate operations stood at €3,689 million, 7.0% higher.

Net attributable profit (Millions of Euros)

Net attributable profit breakdown(1) (Percentage. January-September 2018)

(1) Excludes the Corporate Center.

(2) Includes the areas Banking activity in Spain and Non Core Real Estate.

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Balance sheet and business activity

  • Lower volume of loans and advances to customers (gross). However, there was growth in United States, Mexico and South America (excluding BBVA Chile).
  • Non-performing loans continue to improve.
  • Within the off-balance-sheet funds, mutual funds continue to perform positively.

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Solvency

  • The capital position is above regulatory requirements.
  • BBVA has placed an issuance of €1 billion in of preferred securities contingently convertible into newly issued ordinary shares of BBVA. The remuneration has been set at 5.875%, matching the cheapest obtained by BBVA for this type of issuances.

Capital and leverage ratios (Percentage as of 30-09-2018)



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Risk management

  • Solid indicators of the main credit-risk metrics: as of 30-September-2018, the NPL ratio closed at 4.1%, the NPL coverage ratio at 73% and the cumulative cost of risk at 0.90%.

NPL and NPL coverage ratios (Percentage)

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Hyperinflation in Argentina

  • The financial statements of the Group for the third quarter includes, on one hand, the negative impact derived from the accounting for hyperinflation in Argentina (- €190 million) in the net attributable profit, and on the other hand, the positive impact on equity of €104 million.

Other matters of interest

  • The Group's digital and mobile customer base and digital sales continue to increase in all the geographic areas where BBVA operates with a positive impact in efficiency.

Digital and mobile customers (Millons)



  • On October 10, BBVA completed the sale agreement to Cerberus of 80% of the joint venture to which BBVA had transferred its real estate business in Spain. The Group's financial statements for the third quarter of 2018 do not include the impacts of this operation.
  • BBVA has signed the sale to Blackstone of its 25.24% stake in Testa, valued at €478m, which is expected to close during the last quarter of the year.

Impact of the initial implementation of IFRS 9

  • The figures corresponding to the first nine months of 2018 are prepared under International Financial Reporting Standard 9 (IFRS 9), which entered into force on January 1, 2018. This new accounting standard did not require the comparative information from prior periods, so the comparative figures shown for the year 2017 have been prepared in accordance with the IAS 39 (International Accounting Standard 39) regulation in force at that time.
  • The impacts derived from the first application of IFRS 9, as of January 1, 2018, were registered with a charge to reserves of approximately €900m mainly due to the allocation of provisions based on expected losses, compared to the model of losses incurred under the previous IAS 39.
  • In capital, the impact derived from the first application of IFRS 9 has been a reduction of 31 basis points with respect to the fully-loaded CET1 ratio of December 2017.

Results

  • Generalized growth in recurrent revenue for almost all geographic areas.
  • Operating expenses remain under control.
  • Lower amount of impairment on financial assets not measured at fair value through profit or loss.
  • The result of corporate operations amounted to €633 million and includes the capital gains (net of taxes) arising from the sale of approximately 68.2% of BBVA's equity stake in BBVA Chile.
  • The net attributable profit was €4.323 million, 25.3% higher than in the first nine months of the previous year. Net attributable profit excluding results from corporate operations stood at €3,689 million, 7.0% higher.

Net attributable profit (Millions of Euros)

Net attributable profit breakdown(1) (Percentage. 1H 2018)

(1) Excludes the Corporate Center.

(2) Includes the areas Banking activity in Spain and Non Core Real Estate.

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Business areas

Banking activity in Spain

Highlights

  • Activity impacted by seasonality.
  • Good performance of net fees and commissions.
  • Improvement of efficiency due to the steady reduction of expenses.
  • Lower impairments and provisions, solid asset-quality indicators.

Spain

Gross income. Year-on-year changes.

€4,516 m

Arrow Up Green

-4.6%

Activity (1)

Year-on-year change at constant exchange rate.
Data as of 30-09-2018.

  • Performing loans and advances to customers under management

     

    -1.5%

  • Customers funds
    under management

     

    +0.2%

(1) Excluding repos.


Spain

Results

  • Net interest income

    €2,749 m

    Arrow Down Green

    -1.5% (2)

  • Gross income

    €4,516 m

    Arrow Down Green

    -4.6% (2)

  • Operating income

    €2,061 m

    Arrow Down Green

    -5.3% (2)

  • Net attributable profit

    €1,167 m

    Arrow Down Green

    +10.5% (2)

(2) Year-on-year changes.


Spain

Risks

NPL coverage ratio

50%


56%

NPL ratio

5.5%


5.0%

Cost of risk

0.32%


0.22%




DEC 17

SEP 18


Spain

Non Core Real Estate

Highlights

  • Continued positive trend in the Spanish real-estate market, although with a more moderate growth rate.
  • The operation with Cerberus closed in October, which reduces net real-estate exposure almost entirely.
  • Significant reduction in losses in the area.

Spain

Gross income. Year-on-year changes.

-€11 m

Arrow Down Green

-38.5%

Results

  • Net interest income

    €32 m

    Arrow Down Green

    -34.4%

  • Gross income

    -€11 m

    Arrow Down Green

    -38.5%

  • Operating income

    -€69 m

    Arrow Down Green

    -24.8%

  • Net attributable profit

    -€60 m

    Arrow Down Green

    -78.0%


Spain

Real estate net exposure

Billion euros.


Spain

The United States

Highlights

  • Lending growth supported by consumer and business financing.
  • Good performance of net interest income and provisions.
  • Improvement in efficiency.
  • Net attributable profit affected by the tax reform at the end of 2017.

The United States

Gross income. Year-on-year changes, at constant exchange rate.

€2,182 m

Arrow Up Green

+9.1%

Activity (1)

Year-on-year change, at constant exchange rate.
Data as of 30-09-2018.

  • Performing loans and advances to customers under management

    +6.3%

  • Customers funds
    under management

    +4.2%

(1) Excluding repos.


The United States

Results

Year-on-year changes.

  • Net interest income

    €1,665 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +12.0% (2)

  • Gross income

    €2,182 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +9.1% (2)

  • Operating income

    810 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +14.3% (2)

  • Net attributable profit

    €541 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +43.2% (2)

(2) Year-on-year changes, at constant exchange rate.


The United States

Risks

NPL coverage ratio

104%


101%

NPL ratio

1.2%


1.1%

Cost of risk

0.43%


0.33%




DEC 17

SEP 18


The United States

Mexico

Highlights

  • Good performance of the activity.
  • Expenses continue to grow below the rate of gross income.
  • Double-digit year-on-year growth in net attributable profit.
  • Good asset quality indicators.

Mexico

Gross income. Year-on-year changes, at constant exchange rate.

€5,340 m

Arrow Up Green

+8.0%

Activity (1)

Year-on-year change at constant exchange rate.
Data as of 30-09-2018.

  • Performing loans and advances to customers under management

    +6.5%

  • Customers funds
    under management

    +2.3%

(1) Excluding repos.


Mexico

Results

Year-on-year changes.

  • Net interest income

    €4,110 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +8.3% (2)

  • Gross income

    €5,340 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +8.0% (2)

  • Operating income

    €3,581 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +10.3% (2)

  • Net attributable profit

    €1,851 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +22.5% (2)

(2) Year-on-year changes, at constant exchange rate.


Mexico

Risks

NPL coverage ratio

123%


149%

NPL ratio

2.3%


2.0%

Cost of risk

3.24%


2.82%




DEC 17

SEP 18


Mexico

Turkey

Highlights

  • Activity impacted by the evolution of exchange rates.
  • Good performance of recurring revenue items.
  • Control of operating expenses.
  • Risk indicators affected by the update of the macroeconomic scenario and certain negative impacts of the portfolio of wholesale customers.

Turkey

Gross income. Year-on-year changes, at constant exchange rate.

€2,801 m

Arrow Up Green

+28.1%

Activity (1)

Year-on-year change at constant exchange rate.
Data as of 30-09-2018.

  • Performing loans and advances to customers under management

    +25.1%

  • Customers funds under management

    +38.6%

(1) At constant exchange rates.


Turkey

Results

Year-on-year changes.

  • Net interest income

    €2,204 m

    Arrow Up Green

    26.4% (2)

  • Gross income

    €2,801 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +28.1% (2)

  • Operating income

    €1,887 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +38.6% (2)

  • Net attributable profit

    €488 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +18.1% (2)

(2) Year-on-year changes, at constant exchange rate.


Turkey

Risks

NPL coverage ratio

85%


76%

NPL ratio

3.9%


5.2%

Cost of risk

0.82%


1.72%




DEC 17

SEP 18


Turkey

South America

Highlights

  • The operation of the sale of BBVA Chile closed.
  • Activity in other countries grows at a good pace.
  • Good performance in more recurrent revenue.
  • Argentina hyperinflation adjustment.

South America

Gross income. Year-on-year changes At constant exchange rates.

€2,777 m

Arrow Up Green

+3.6%

Activity (1)

Year-on-year change at constant exchange rate.
Data as of 30-09-2018.

  • Performing loans and advances to customers under management

    -20.8%

  • Customers funds under management

    -9.2%

(1) At constant exchange rates.


South America

Results

Year-on-year changes.

  • Net interest income

    €2,226 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +13.2% (2)

  • Gross income

    €2,777 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +3.6% (2)

  • Operating income

    €1,527 m

    Arrow Up Green

    +0.4% (2)

  • Net attributable profit

    €467 m

    Arrow Down Green

    -5.6% (2)

(2) Year-on-year changes At constant exchange rates.


South America

Risks

NPL coverage ratio

89%


101%

NPL ratio

3.4%


4.3%

Cost of risk

1.32%


1.45%




DEC 17

SEP 18


South America

Rest of Eurasia

Highlights

  • Positive trend in lending activity.
  • Performance of deposits strongly influenced by the environment of negative interest rates.
  • Earnings affected by decrease in revenues.
  • Improvement of the NPL and NPL coverage ratios.

Rest of Eurasia

Gross income. Year-on-year changes.

€317 m

Arrow Down Green

-13.8%

Activity (1)

Year-on-year change at constant exchange rate.
Data as of 30-09-2018.

  • Performing loans and advances to customers under management

    +2.6%

  • Customers funds under management

    -20.8%

(1) Excluding repos.


Rest of Eurasia

Results

Year-on-year changes.

  • Net interest income

    €124 m

    Arrow Down Green

    -13.3% (2)

  • Gross income

    €317 m

    Arrow Down Green

    -13.8% (2)

  • Operating income

    €99 m

    Arrow Up Green

    -28.8% (2)

  • Net attributable profit

    €57 m

    Arrow Down Green

    -42.9% (2)

(2) Year-on-year changes At constant exchange rates.


Rest of Eurasia

Risks

NPL coverage ratio

74%


100%

NPL ratio

2.4%


1.6%

Cost of risk

-0.16%


0.13%




DEC 17

SEP 18


Rest of Eurasia

Contact

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Contact email
accionistas@bbva.com

Quartely report 3Q 2018

Additional information

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