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Expected losses

Expected loss in the non-doubtful debt portfolio, expressed in consolidated terms and adjusted to the economic cycle average, stood at €3,216 million euros at the close of December 2010, an increase of 13.6% compared with the same date in 2009.

The main portfolios of the BBVA Group experienced use of expected loss and economic capital, as shown in the following table.

The breakdown of use of attributable expected losses by areas of business as of December 31, 2009 is shown in Chart 26. Spain and Portugal, with an exposure which accounts for 44.8% of the total, had an expected loss-to-exposure ratio of 0.40%. WB&AM accounted for 18.7% of the exposure, with a ratio of expected loss-to-exposure of 0.10%. Mexico had a weight of 15.8% and a ratio of 0.9%; the United States had a weight of 10.2% and a ratio of 0.9%; and South America had a weight of 10.4% and an expected loss-to-exposure ratio of 1.1%.

Risk statistics for the BBVA Group’s main portfolios not in default

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Exposure (2) Expected loss (1) Economic capital
Portfolio Million euros Million euros % Million euros %
Retail Mortgage



Spain 83,412 123 0.15 1,251 1.50
Mexico 9,824 185 1.88 457 4.65
Others 11,778 61 0.52 392 3.32
Total 105,014 368 0.35 2,100 2.00
Other retail portfolios


Spain 32,593 255 0.78 1,498 4.60
Mexico 10,520 367 3.49 910 8.65
Others 19,185 545 2.84 1,553 8.10
Total 62,298 1,167 1.87 3,962 6.36
Companies and institutions


Spain 112,171 662 0.59 4,118 3.67
Mexico 19,643 257 1.31 771 3.92
Others 98,778 430 0.44 3,521 3.56
Total 230,592 1,349 0.58 8,410 3.65
(1) Performing portfolios. (2) Includes off-balance sheet positions to which the corresponding conversion factors are applied.

26: Attributable expected losses (performing balances) by business area

(Percentage over exposure 30-12-2010)

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